Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 11.554948 12.965574 14.521889 16.373501 18.525674 20.959428 23.935519
2025-10-26 9.854936 11.741453 13.984987 16.876729 20.544270 25.093807 31.248461
2025-11-02 8.584774 10.633031 13.191718 16.672134 21.360420 27.571635 36.621606
2025-11-09 7.640260 9.754291 12.499458 16.398379 21.915798 29.638810 41.631466
2025-11-16 6.939376 9.088150 11.971551 16.221875 22.501550 31.733072 46.924934
2025-11-23 6.295231 8.420906 11.352666 15.812442 22.650125 33.141389 51.322719
2025-11-30 5.848696 7.979136 10.993871 15.718485 23.223904 35.229208 57.129073
2025-12-07 5.321435 7.373710 10.337689 15.095128 22.873610 35.749268 60.267126
2025-12-14 4.824776 6.773577 9.637005 14.327518 22.188805 35.594699 62.107315
2025-12-21 4.499271 6.403316 9.251837 14.019087 22.222169 36.665922 66.435718
2025-12-28 4.595970 6.676043 9.873539 15.402405 25.309753 43.648905 84.018521
2026-01-04 4.463668 6.581645 9.903113 15.787505 26.658946 47.567370 96.021059
2026-01-11 4.164899 6.213544 9.477173 15.371489 26.530808 48.668535 102.191823
2026-01-18 4.055258 6.142546 9.536392 15.822580 28.115438 53.536914 118.661171
2026-01-25 3.841826 5.886022 9.261437 15.634666 28.411578 55.702650 128.898651
2026-02-01 3.636590 5.629711 8.967437 15.381683 28.540683 57.512764 138.687245
2026-02-08 3.463339 5.416442 8.732832 15.218586 28.834485 59.744751 150.322399
2026-02-15 3.270926 5.159150 8.402741 14.840111 28.620732 60.734987 158.576842
2026-02-22 3.136636 4.994653 8.228201 14.753234 29.035373 63.335862 172.697990
2026-03-01 2.942400 4.715057 7.826910 14.176602 28.284427 62.866364 176.631188
2026-03-08 2.742837 4.416947 7.375746 13.465937 27.157372 61.266436 176.319322
2026-03-15 2.613927 4.238743 7.138064 13.180195 26.993967 62.219015 185.442160
2026-03-22 2.694570 4.440546 7.626293 14.460900 30.721167 74.569489 242.297811